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U.S. Healthcare Legislation Investment Impact

Last night the U.S. House of Representatives brought us one large step closer to a national healthcare system. Investors should be cognizant of the financial effects that would follow. In the extreme short-run, it would be reasonable to assume that the ...

From RICHARD SHAW, Seeking Alpha,  9 Nov 2009

Related Topics: U.S. House of Representatives

Quality Individual U.S. Companies: The Short List

We generally prefer investment funds over individual stocks to minimize investment selection risk (focusing more on asset allocation as the greater issue). However, when we do look at individual stocks, we focus on quality companies with financial ...

From RICHARD SHAW, ETF Investor,  8 Nov 2009

How the Copenhagen Climate Treaty Will Affect Equity Markets

We don't know if the furor over climate, economic and sovereignty issues coming to a head over the impending December Copenhagen climate treaty is correct, incorrect, exaggerated or spot-on. There is now concern that Obama will sign a treaty that will ...

From RICHARD SHAW, Seeking Alpha,  21 Oct 2009

Related Topics: Barack Obama

What Do CBOE Volatility Indexes Say?

The CBOE publishes several options implied volatility indexes that can be helpful to stock investors who want to peek around the corner to the future through the eyes of options traders. These two tables show the options implied (30-day future) ...

From RICHARD SHAW, Seeking Alpha,  20 Oct 2009

Related Topics: NASDAQ

Price Volatility: Projecting Ahead

The S&P 500 index has an 80% probability of ending 2009 between the low 970’s and 1150 to 1170. Historical volatility for the past three months would suggest 971 to 1151 for 80% probability, while implied volatility in the 3-month CBOE volatility index ...

From RICHARD SHAW, Seeking Alpha,  14 Oct 2009

Probable Price Ranges for SPY, FXI, UUP and TLT

There is no way to realistically make a precise price prediction for a particular date for a traded security. It is possible, however, to observe the recent historical volatility (standard deviation) of a security to make realistic estimates of the ...

From RICHARD SHAW, ETF Investor,  9 Oct 2009

Bond Funds Price Change vs Volatility

Stock volatility versus price change gets a lot of financial media attention, but bonds don't get so much. Bonds are an important part of portfolios that deserve investigative attention too. This article provides data for bond funds of various types in ...

From RICHARD SHAW, Safehaven,  27 Sep 2009

Does $1,000 Gold Signal Stock Correction?

A correction may occur, but the long-term record does not support the idea that gold rises predict stock declines. The weekly 20-year chart of the S&P 500 versus the price of gold bullion shows the absence of reliable predictive value about stocks from ...

From RICHARD SHAW, Seeking Alpha,  8 Sep 2009

S&P 500 Benchmark for Fundamental Screening

As you evaluate individual stocks on a fundamental basis, the following chart may be a useful benchmark. Ideally, you would not purchase individual stocks with the issue selection risks involved, unless the fundamentals are more attractive than the ...

From RICHARD SHAW, Seeking Alpha,  31 Aug 2009

Continuing Mid-Cap Outperformance

Since the 2008 crash and in 2009, mid-cap US stocks (proxy MDY) continue to outperform large-cap US stocks (proxy SPY) and small-cap US stocks (proxy IWM), as they have done fairly consistently for many years. It makes conceptual sense to us that ...

From RICHARD SHAW, ETF Investor,  30 Aug 2009

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